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That New York retains both a short-term and a long-term coherence, despite diversity, 12 Holland, Hidden, 37. 24 Coping with the Bounds change, and lack of central direction, is typical of the enigmas posed by cas. As is usual, nonlinearities lie near the center of the enigma. New York’s nonlinearities are particularly embedded in the internal models—models internal to the firms—that drive transactions. These models range from spreadsheets to sophisticated corporate plans. There are also continual innovations, such as the steady flux of financial instruments on Wall Street (“Derivatives,” the current innovation, have absorbed even more money than their predecessors, “junk bonds”).
Still, a bacterium moves in the direction of a chemical gradient implicitly predicting that food lies in that direction. The mimic survives because it implicitly forecasts that a certain pattern discourages predators. When we get to the so-called higher mammals, the models do depend more directly on the agent’s sensory experience. A wolf bases its movements on anticipations generated by a mental map that incorporates landmarks and scents. Early humans built Stonehenge as an explicit, external model that helped predict the equinoxes.
For those paths that are not saved, the event/condition never happens—the sign of failure of a cas to adapt with its environment. Even those branches that are saved, such as a birth, will sooner or later lose their stability because over time conditions change, resulting in death. 42 Coping with the Bounds A “play” or a bifurcation path representing a cas “expedition,” occurring close to bifurcation point 4 is worth more than one near bifurcation point 1. Complex adaptive systems thrive best at the Edge of Chaos, or the closer to the boundary with the Chaos end zone the better.