Download Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management : ESREL by Christophe Berenguer, Antoine Grall, Carlos Guedes Soares PDF

By Christophe Berenguer, Antoine Grall, Carlos Guedes Soares

Advances in defense, Reliability and danger administration comprises the papers provided on the twentieth ecu safeguard and Reliability (ESREL 2011) annual convention in Troyes, France, in September 2011. The books covers quite a lot of issues, together with: coincidence and Incident research; Bayesian tools; challenge and Emergency administration; determination Making less than possibility; Dynamic Reliability; Fault prognosis, analysis and Read more...

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The new joint distribution is modified further in time using the reservoir model. In this way, the reservoir model provides the connection between discrete slices of time and data is assimilated at every time step by conditioning the joint distribution on the values of the measurements. The NPBN based approach will be compared with the EnKF method. A two phase, 2D flow model was implemented for a synthetic reservoir simulation exercise and the results of both methods for the history matching process of estimating the permeability field are illustrated and compared.

Considering the principle of small-probability event and reliability test requirement, the constraint conditions include posterior probability of null hypothesis should be equal or greater than a given confidence level, every subsystem (system) life test duration should be equal or greater than its given minimize test duration and be equal or less than another given maximum test duration, and single product’s reliability test duration shouldn’t be longer than its given longest test duration. In order to make full use of the prior information of subsystems and system, the Bayesian Optimum Resource Allocation Model (BORAM) is developed to calculate the prior distribution of system’s failure rate and posterior probability of null hypothesis.

Indb 3 7/22/2011 2:22:27 PM Advances in Safety, Reliability and Risk Management – Bérenguer, Grall & Guedes Soares (eds) © 2012 Taylor & Francis Group, London, ISBN 978-0-415-68379-1 Case study: Do activities and outcomes of the process safety observations match? Marko Gerbec Jožef Stefan Institute, Department of Inorganic Chemistry and Technology, Ljubljana, Slovenia useful in terms of better and precisely defined categories of the deficiencies/root causes/events to be revealed in the incident analysis.

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